Tuesday, December 3, 2013

DJIA - Continuation Of Bullish Momentum


DJIA (CMP: 16086.4) - is showing bullish outlook in the medium term perspective.

The above chart is not exactly correlating with the S&P 500, But in the last few years directional moments are similar in direction. After the top out at October, 2007 both the charts are more similar in nature.

The price is forming higher top higher bottom set-up which indicates the bulls are continuing their momentum. The index is moving within the rising channel line (Blue line) which is a vital bullish setup. This bullish setup is intact from March, 2009. Within the broader channel; price has found new directional channel (Red dotted line).  The index is sustaining above all key moving averages. Short term key moving average of 50 Week EMA is placed at 14877 levels.

Recently the price has breached the “Running triangle” (Blue Dotted) which is a significant bullish indication for in the short term and bulls could continue towards the cluster resistance of 16500 – 17000 levels (Two channels upper lines). Key bottom is placed at 14700 which is the end “wave e” leg in the running triangle. The weekly oscillators are placed in overbought zone.

Conclusion: Unless violation of 14700, the bulls could continue the rally towards the upper resistance line of both the channel lines; the levels are placed around 16500 – 17000 levels. 

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